A recent study by the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal) reveals that Europe’s population has adapted more effectively to cold temperatures than to heat over the past two decades. This adaptation is reflected in a significant decrease in cold-related mortality risks compared to those associated with extreme heat.
Key Points at a Glance
- Cold-related mortality risk has decreased by 2% annually since 2003.
- Heat-related mortality risk has declined by only 1% per year in the same period.
- The study analyzed data from over 800 regions across 35 European countries.
- A new metric, Extreme-Risk Temperature (ERT), was developed to assess regional vulnerabilities.
- Findings underscore the need for enhanced heat adaptation strategies in Europe.
In a significant advancement for understanding climate resilience, a recent study by the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal) reveals that Europe’s population has adapted more effectively to cold temperatures than to heat over the past two decades. This adaptation is evident in a faster decline in mortality associated with cold compared to that linked to heat.
In collaboration with the Barcelona Supercomputing Centre, ISGlobal conducted an extensive analysis of temperature and mortality records spanning from 2003 to 2020. The research encompassed over 800 regions in 35 European countries, aiming to understand how populations have adapted to temperature extremes.
The study introduced the concept of Extreme-Risk Temperature (ERT), a novel approach that identifies the specific temperature at which mortality risk significantly increases for each region. This method accounts for regional differences in climate and population vulnerability, providing a more accurate assessment of adaptation levels.
Results indicated a notable decrease in cold-related mortality risk, averaging a 2% reduction per year. In contrast, the decline in heat-related mortality risk was less pronounced, at approximately 1% annually. These findings suggest that while Europe has made strides in adapting to colder temperatures, efforts to mitigate the health impacts of extreme heat have been less effective.
The study’s outcomes highlight the importance of developing targeted public health strategies to address the growing threat of heatwaves, especially in the context of climate change. Enhancing infrastructure, increasing public awareness, and implementing early warning systems are among the recommended measures to improve heat adaptation across the continent.
